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Patryk Suchy Recruiter & Career Consultant

Your Move - CONFIRMATION BIAS - why they are planting the evidence


Hey Little Pineapple,

Last issue: the person who went before you (missed it? it’s here: THE CONTRAST EFFECT).

Today: You will find out why first impression is EXTREMELY important when you interview for a job.

You’ve heard the line.

Interviewers decide in the first few minutes and spend the rest looking for reasons.

And to be fair it’s half true. I’m going to show you both halves, because one of them is a myth people love repeating, and the other is a trap you can actually do something about.

Imagine this:

Two candidates. Same role, same day, same three questions.

Candidate A walks in, easy handshake, cracks a small joke, sits down relaxed. Before question one, the interviewer likes them.

Candidate B walks in sweaty and a minute late, fumbles the hello, laughs a bit too nervously. Before question one, the interviewer isn’t sure.

Now watch what the interviewer does - without having any idea they’re doing it.

With A, they nod. They fill the silences. “Oh nice - tell me more about that.” When A stumbles on an answer, they hear nerves.

With B, they wait. They let the silence sit there. They ask the follow-up with a slightly raised eyebrow. When B stumbles on the same question, they think he can’t handle pressure.

Same questions. Two completely different interviews. At the end, the interviewer writes “A was just more impressive” - and they believe it. They’ve got a whole hour of evidence.

Evidence they planted themselves.

What’s happening

CONFIRMATION BIAS:
once someone forms a first impression, they quietly stop gathering information and start looking for proof.

It's a hell of a bias if you ask me.

Now - the famous version of this is a bit of a myth, and I’m going to be straight with you, because we're not in a business of repeating stuff just because it sounds nice.

You’ll read everywhere that interviewers “decide in the first four minutes.”
That line comes from a study in the 1950s, and the evidence for it is thin.
When researchers actually measured it, the honest answer was messier: some interviewers decide fast, some don’t.

And how fast depends on who they are and how the interview’s built.
So their experience. How structured the questions are. Where you land in the day’s running order.

There’s no magic minute-mark.
But here’s the part that isn’t messy at all: whenever that impression forms, it bends everything after it.

The interview stops being a search and turns into a check.
They are testing their early read against an answer they’ve half-written already.

And the impression that starts it? Real study, real hires: candidates who came across better in the first two or three minutes of throwaway small talk went on to get higher scores and more actual job offers.

Let's pause here for a second. Because what you just read above it's INSANE.

We're not talking warmer feeling. They got more offers!

The warm-up isn’t the warm-up. It’s the whole thing, wearing a disguise.

Why your brain does it

This one we actually understand, so no hedging this week. Two things stack.

First: proving yourself right is easy, proving yourself wrong is work. The second your brain has a hunch - “this one’s good” - the lazy path is to go looking for things that fit it. You ask questions you already expect nice answers to. You don’t go hunting for the fact that would blow up your own theory. Nobody does. It’s more comfortable to be right.

Second, and worse: the interviewer’s belief leaks into how you behave => so how the interviewer behaves shapes your answers.
Decide someone’s good and you get warmer. Warmth relaxes them. Relaxed, they’re sharper, funnier, better - so they confirm the good impression, because you treated them like someone worth confirming.

It runs the other way just as hard. Decide someone’s weak, go a little cold, and the cold makes them worse.
Ever heard of self-fulfilling prophecy? This is the moment when it fulfils itself.

The tells

You can’t see the verdict. But you can see which way it’s leaning, because interviewers treat a “yes” and a “not sure” completely differently.

  1. Selling vs. digging. When they like you, they start selling - the team, the roadmap, why it’s a great place to work. When they’re not sure, they keep probing, testing, making you prove it. If halfway through they’re pitching the company to you, you’re winning.
  2. The easy follow-up. “Oh interesting, say more about that” is a hand up. A flat “okay. Next -“ the second you finish is not. Generous follow-ups mean they’re building your case. Clipped ones mean they’ve stopped building it.
  3. The generous read. Watch what happens when you stumble. If they rescue you - “no rush, take your time” - you’re filed under yes and the stumble reads as nerves. If they let you dangle in the silence, the stumble is being logged as data.

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The play

You can’t stop them forming an impression. So form it for them - early, and on purpose.

The move is to stop treating the first few minutes as nothing.

Most candidates save themselves for "the real questions" and sleepwalk through the "can you hear me okay?" and the how-was-your-week. That's exactly backwards. The impression that colours the entire hour gets set right there, in the part you're not even trying.

So try there.

Walk in with one warm, specific opener ready. Not a speech - one genuine line.

On a call, a quick "honestly, been looking forward to this one" beats a flat "good thanks, you?" by a mile. Say it like you mean it, because you should.

Get your best thing in early. Whatever the single most impressive true thing about you is, it lands in the first third of the interview, not the last. Once it's in, it becomes the lens they read everything else through. Match their energy up, not down.

Warm room, be warm back. Flat room, bring slightly more than they're giving you - you're setting the temperature, and warm rooms confirm good impressions.

One honest caveat, because I'm not going to oversell it: those first impressions aren't pure noise. The research suggests they do pick up something real - how clearly you think, how well you communicate.

Which is exactly why this is a trap and an open door at the same time: the interviewer can't tell the real signal from the halo. So give them real signal, delivered warm, in the first five minutes. That's not a trick. That's just refusing to bury your best in the back half.

The counter-play

Sometimes it’s cold from the jump - filed under “no” before you sat down. Your CV, the person before you, something you’ll never know.

And here’s the trap: piling on more good answers usually won’t dig you out. A bad first impression doesn’t get erased by good evidence - the good stuff just gets filed politely next to it, and you’re still in the same folder.

What moves it isn’t more proof. It’s a change of frame. So don’t go more into the same - break the pattern. Tell the one story that doesn’t fit the box they’ve put you in. You’re not charming your way up inch by inch - you’re forcing them to look again. One genuine pattern-break beats ten polite answers, especially if they are already considered as "no, k thx bye".

The line

Winning the first five minutes isn’t faking. You’re making sure your best is visible early instead of buried at the bottom. That’s presentation, and everyone’s allowed presentation.

Faking is manufacturing an impression you can’t hold up - the borrowed confidence, the personality that evaporates by question three. That doesn’t just fail, it fails worse, because now the gap between the warm-up and the real you becomes its own bad story. Set an impression you can actually keep for the next forty minutes.

One rep this week

Write two things down: your one-line opener, and your single most impressive true fact. Memorise both. Next interview, the opener goes in the first thirty seconds and the fact goes in the first ten minutes - no matter what they ask you.

Ten minutes to prep. It front-loads the exact thing the rest of the hour gets measured against.

Next issue: They’ll forget almost everything you said. Two moments survive - and one of them, you get to choose.

Best, Patryk

Season 1, Issue #3 · Let me know if you've ever experienced confirmation bias for yourself


The research, if you want to go deeper:

The “four minutes” myth, tested and mostly busted - Frieder, Van Iddekinge & Raymark (British Psychological Society write-up): https://www.bps.org.uk/research-digest/do-interviewers-really-make-hiring-decision-first-four-minutes

First impressions in the first 2–3 minutes predict real offers - Barrick, Swider & Stewart (2010, free PDF): https://homepages.se.edu/cvonbergen/files/2012/12/Initial-Evaluations-in-the-Interview_Relationships-with-Subsequent-Interviewer-Evaluations-and-Employment-Offers.pdf

Interviewers hunt for evidence that confirms them - Dougherty, Turban & Callender (1994): https://scirp.org/reference/referencespapers?referenceid=3993620

Patryk Suchy Recruiter & Career Consultant

I help senior gamedev professionals get into conversations for roles they actually want in 60 days or less.

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